MOZOM-analyse
'Laggards' on the gas network: tariff warning or pressure for the energy transition?

- Source
- NU.nl, ACM, Netbeheer Nederland, Gasunie and the National Government
- MOZOM headline
- 'Laggards' on the gas network: tariff warning or pressure for the energy transition?
- Original headline
- Those left behind on the gas network may pay four times as much for transport
- Author
- Paul Giezen
- Date
- 28 augustus 2026 om 16:00
- Subject
- Research into the framing of future gas network costs and the distribution of costs within the energy transition.
Summary of the original report
The ACM and grid operators warn that declining gas use can increase transport costs per remaining connection. That mechanism is realistic, but 'four times as much' is a long-term scenario for which the starting amount, inflation and calculation method must be visible. The term 'stragglers' also suggests that gas users voluntarily refuse to switch, while affordability, rental housing, technical limitations and missing alternatives play a role.
Own source research
MOZOM compares the NU.nl formulation with ACM decisions and Netbeheer Nederland documents. The ACM confirms that less gas use can put upward pressure on gas transport rates. Netbeheer Nederland describes the same effect for remaining connections. However, the sources do not prove that every user voluntarily 'stays behind', nor that a four times higher total energy bill is certain.
From rate forecast to debt demand
The headline emphasizes a possible fourfold increase and uses the word “stragglers.” As a result, the reader is not only informed about grid costs, but also placed in an us-them framework: progressive switchers versus people who are left behind. The Russian or political term is not relevant here; the control lies in the moral language surrounding a technical cost distribution.
Who determines the distribution of the grid costs?
Cost distribution is not a law of nature. The ACM determines maximum rates and regulatory methods within legal frameworks. Costs can end up with remaining gas users, but there is also a political choice about general resources, housing policy, landlords, energy tax and the distribution between gas and electricity users. Moreover, a switch is not immediately technically or financially feasible for every home.
Possible message behind the news
A possible message is that staying on gas will be financially punished. The underlying policy question, however, is who should fairly bear the costs of shrinking grids and the transition to new energy infrastructure.
Neutral conclusion
The increase in gas transport costs with fewer users is technically plausible and described by ACM and grid operators. However, the term 'stragglers' gives this development a moralizing connotation. What is not certain is that the total energy bill will be four times higher or that every gas user will be able to switch freely and affordably.
Source:
- NU.nl: Those lagging behind on the gas network may pay four times as much
- ACM: national gas transport rates 2026
- ACM: future costs of electricity and gas networks
- Network Management Netherlands: rising transport rates as natural gas is phased out
- National government: transition to sustainable heat sources